Next system January 11-14

Another brief insight and data provided here to help keep you ahead of the storm. I don't watch tv TWC. I don't post daily revised favored "model run" changes for "in-the-know" effects....as they change by the hour. I don't "Chase" mets and their public broadcasts.....I also generally don't often bring forth "alerts" to normal or typical weather events. I DO however, answer and respond to individual "back-yard' inboxed questions and inquiries anytime, literally for anywhere around the nation, in my various social media platforms - especially here in FB. I utilize all the data accesses that I have accumulated over the years to study the upcoming pattern, analyze it, compare it to other events in history similarly, combine with my instinct, and provide my insight thereafter; always have, always will.....

The next system is a national sweeper of Winter weather influencing folks from the southern Rockies to Maine. None of it will be overly extraordinary or intensely anomalitic. But, it will effect travel and outdoor activities along it's duration.

Last wknd I began discussing this one favoring a "Panhandles - Great lakes - St. Lawrence Seaway tracker". Presently, the adjustments have brought it's course a bit more southeasterly than that general idea. It will be a 2-part evolution, the way I see it. 1st energy pushing from Kansas to the Michigan UP - KS/IA/WS/MI/MN/NE all getting in on the brief white action. A small blanket of snow will likely result through this region (Mind you I'm from upstate NY where I've seen 100" of snow in 3 day events, so my "snow impact" is a bit bias to wider domains of intensity than the Plains). This wave of energy will dissolve up into southern Canada as the southern low trudges forwards easterly over to Louisiana by Friday morning.

The Gulf and a resistant Southeast Ridging (that has brought the recent warmth back to the eastern US regions), will support warmer temps for most of the east through a lengthy part of this systems course. For the next 24-36 hrs, the general boundary will be up through the Mississippi River into the Great Lakes. As times erodes it away, the next resistance area will likely be at or near the southern Appalachian Mtn range. Here the Low basically stops it's eastward progressions, and heads ENE towards NYC. Everyone east of this boundary carries through with rain the entire time.

I believe due to the timing of this sequence, and the temps ahead of it enforced by that southern ridging as it slowly gives way to the coming low, makes much of this a sloppy mix scenario for many, and variations of winter precip as well. It seems by Friday afternoon, the areas I outlined yesterday will begin to see the various freezing precip events begin - TN/KY/IN/OH? .... and as time progresses into the night, that region will likely turn to snow events next. I don't call inch by inch backyard forecasts, and it is especially difficult for sequences like this, with various types of precip involved. Some of this region may see a decent blanketing of snow (finally?) :O This is a general idea on a national synoptic-scale level.

There is no massive cold Canadian High over eastern Canada for this one. Although our southern Canadian friends may enjoy a good round of snow from this, the US won't very likely see it. Overnight Friday into Saturday, a better chance for temp-cooperated events of snow will be likely through these previously mentioned regions of the eastern Mid-West, and on up through northern New England. The low will likely aim for NYC, and with that kind of continental tracking, it provides RAIN to most of New England most of the time, and maybe a minor snow on the backside as temps drop behind it. It looks like the NWS has begun prompting the Flood Watches that I agree with, now for that region, for the beginning of the wknd. This concluding paragraph leads to a snow belt axis possible from around TN to upstate NY and most of northern New England in general, and anywhere in between - especially overnight Friday into Saturday afternoon. System leaves the general northeastern seaboard by Sunday morning.....

Winter returns behind this system.....Next wave of energy to look at likely comes in from southern Canada early next week. I hope I've helped you to see into the future here and adjust your plans accordingly.....